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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was No β€” but Yes won instead.

Sagan Tosu vs. Kataller Toyama: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

No 60%

Total Value

$184.1

Combined PnL

$4.37

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders
Total Value$184.1
Total Shares184
Combined PnL+$48.7
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares108
Combined PnL-$44.33
Yes β€” 33%No β€” 67%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x04913dd8...88849e
Slug
ja2-sag-kat-2026-11-07-btts
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