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NoYesNoYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Ōita Trinita vs. Tochigi City FC: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$38.69
Combined PnL
-$63.97
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares148
Combined PnL-$72.74
Yes2 traders
Total Value$38.69
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$8.77
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 60.8¢ | $60.7 | — | -$60.7 | 49% 3769-3940 (7709) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Yesavg 70.5¢ | $25.38 | $36 | +$10.62 | 98% 442-7 (449) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 12.6¢ | $5.72 | — | -$5.72 | 37% 996-1673 (2669) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Yesavg 87¢ | $4.54 | $2.69 | -$1.85 | 45% 788-969 (1757) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $4.76 | — | -$4.76 | 42% 979-1345 (2324) |
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100 | Noavg 26¢ | $1.56 | — | -$1.56 | 51% 153-149 (302) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$60.7
Value
—
PnL
-$60.7
Record
49%
3769-3940 (7709)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$25.38
Value
$36
PnL
+$10.62
Record
98%
442-7 (449)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$5.72
Value
—
PnL
-$5.72
Record
37%
996-1673 (2669)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$4.54
Value
$2.69
PnL
-$1.85
Record
45%
788-969 (1757)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
—
PnL
-$4.76
Record
42%
979-1345 (2324)
0X
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100Invested
$1.56
Value
—
PnL
-$1.56
Record
51%
153-149 (302)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7b7582b6...30caf9
Slug
ja2-oit-tct-2026-11-14-btts