Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Kataller Toyama vs. Tokushima Vortis: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Under 45%
$1.8K
$98.66
Smart Money Signal
5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 26.9¢ | $490.95 | $1.6K | +$1.2K | 49% 4576-4835 (9411) |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 15.4¢ | $16.53 | $107.17 | +$90.64 | 35% 612-1118 (1730) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 17¢ | $12.26 | $47.14 | +$41.62 | 48% 2479-2702 (5181) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 77.7¢ | $867.2 | — | -$867.2 | 52% 2443-2220 (4663) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | $13.35 | $23.74 | +$10.39 | 39% 1520-2392 (3912) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Overavg 40¢ | $8 | $20 | +$12 | 37% 1308-2191 (3499) |
 RN1CTR | Underavg 62¢ | $310 | — | -$310 | 54% 5979-5052 (11031) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Overavg 15¢ | $0.6 | $4 | +$3.4 | 47% 1165-1328 (2493) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $0.79 | — | -$0.79 | 48% 1283-1366 (2649) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Underavg 77¢ | $19.99 | — | -$19.99 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $12 | — | -$12 | 83% 939-195 (1134) |
Invested
$490.95
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
49%
4576-4835 (9411)
Invested
$16.53
Value
$107.17
PnL
+$90.64
Record
35%
612-1118 (1730)
Invested
$12.26
Value
$47.14
PnL
+$41.62
Record
48%
2479-2702 (5181)
Invested
$867.2
Value
—
PnL
-$867.2
Record
52%
2443-2220 (4663)
Invested
$13.35
Value
$23.74
PnL
+$10.39
Record
39%
1520-2392 (3912)
Invested
$8
Value
$20
PnL
+$12
Record
37%
1308-2191 (3499)
RN1CTRInvested
$310
Value
—
PnL
-$310
Record
54%
5979-5052 (11031)
Invested
$0.6
Value
$4
PnL
+$3.4
Record
47%
1165-1328 (2493)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$0.79
Value
—
PnL
-$0.79
Record
48%
1283-1366 (2649)
Invested
$19.99
Value
—
PnL
-$19.99
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$12
Record
83%
939-195 (1134)