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NoNoYes
VeryLucky888<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Kataller Toyama vs. Tokushima Vortis: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 75%
Total Value
$459.97
Combined PnL
$2.8
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$459.97
Total Shares460
Combined PnL+$190.08
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares435
Combined PnL-$187.28
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 57¢ | $209.44 | $367.44 | +$158 | 52% 2443-2220 (4663) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 62.7¢ | $57.57 | $87.65 | +$30.08 | 49% 4576-4835 (9411) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $91.37 | — | -$91.37 | 47% 1165-1328 (2493) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 59¢ | $2.88 | $4.88 | +$2 | 53% 1840-1607 (3447) |
SU suntoriCTR | Yesavg 43¢ | $187.28 | — | -$95.91 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$209.44
Value
$367.44
PnL
+$158
Record
52%
2443-2220 (4663)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$57.57
Value
$87.65
PnL
+$30.08
Record
49%
4576-4835 (9411)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$91.37
Value
—
PnL
-$91.37
Record
47%
1165-1328 (2493)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
$4.88
PnL
+$2
Record
53%
1840-1607 (3447)
SU
suntoriCTRInvested
$187.28
Value
—
PnL
-$95.91
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f0c100c...ae3351
Slug
ja2-kat-tok-2026-11-15-halftime-result-draw