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No
VeryLucky888YesNo
RN1CTRNoNoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Kataller Toyama vs. Tokushima Vortis: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 88%
Total Value
$167.8
Combined PnL
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,813
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Yes1 trader
Total Value$167.8
Total Shares168
Combined PnL+$76.19
No — 88%Yes — 12%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 32.8¢ | $893.92 | — | -$893.92 | 49% 4576-4835 (9411) |
VeryLucky888 | Yesavg 54.6¢ | $91.61 | $167.8 | +$76.19 | 53% 1840-1607 (3447) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Noavg 43¢ | $252.03 | — | -$252.03 | 37% 1308-2191 (3499) |
RN1CTR | Noavg 30¢ | $106.9 | — | -$106.9 | 54% 5979-5052 (11031) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Noavg 45.4¢ | $90.47 | — | -$67.16 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Noavg 37.9¢ | $7.57 | — | -$7.57 | 47% 1165-1328 (2493) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 41¢ | $7.79 | — | -$7.79 | 38% 1316-2144 (3460) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 50% 1088-1092 (2180) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$893.92
Value
—
PnL
-$893.92
Record
49%
4576-4835 (9411)
VeryLucky888Invested
$91.61
Value
$167.8
PnL
+$76.19
Record
53%
1840-1607 (3447)
LI
LightParadoxCTRInvested
$252.03
Value
—
PnL
-$252.03
Record
37%
1308-2191 (3499)
RN1CTRInvested
$106.9
Value
—
PnL
-$106.9
Record
54%
5979-5052 (11031)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$90.47
Value
—
PnL
-$67.16
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$7.57
Value
—
PnL
-$7.57
Record
47%
1165-1328 (2493)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$7.79
Value
—
PnL
-$7.79
Record
38%
1316-2144 (3460)
NO
NotJumpCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
50%
1088-1092 (2180)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7a78bee5...bf80c1
Slug
ja2-kat-tok-2026-11-15-btts