Back to Markets
RN1NoNoYes
VeryLucky888<$100NoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will FC Imabari win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$3.3K
Combined PnL
$20.02
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$3.2K
Total Shares3,235
Combined PnL+$24.55
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares139
Combined PnL-$4.53
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1 | Noavg 99.4¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$11.41 | 54% 5979-5052 (11031) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 99.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$10.64 | 47% 1165-1328 (2493) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 4.9¢ | $255.65 | $80.73 | -$174.92 | 49% 4576-4835 (9411) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 91.5¢ | $73.91 | $80.73 | +$6.83 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 4.9¢ | $181.74 | — | -$181.74 | |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $7.5 | $10 | +$2.5 | 53% 1840-1607 (3447) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 48% 2479-2702 (5181) |
HY hydra1248CTR<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $3.53 | — | -$3.53 | 75% 229-77 (306) |
RN1Invested
$1,968.22
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$11.41
Record
54%
5979-5052 (11031)
SN
SnakeBallInvested
$1,234.71
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$10.64
Record
47%
1165-1328 (2493)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$255.65
Value
$80.73
PnL
-$174.92
Record
49%
4576-4835 (9411)
Both legs:
No$73.9191.5¢+$6.83
Yes$181.744.9¢-$181.74
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.5
Record
53%
1840-1607 (3447)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
48%
2479-2702 (5181)
HY
hydra1248CTR<$100Invested
$3.53
Value
—
PnL
-$3.53
Record
75%
229-77 (306)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd47474f9...cb70bf
Slug
ja2-imb-jub-2026-11-15-imb