Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Carrarese Calcio vs. SS Arezzo: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Under 63%
$2.5K
-$208.37
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1CTR | Underavg 72¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$22.2 | 54% 55844-47942 (103786) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 12.5¢ | $140.15 | $1.1K | +$979.97 | 50% 24471-24125 (48596) |
RO Rocko33<$100 | Overavg 28¢ | $6.2 | $22.15 | +$15.95 | 64% 1014-578 (1592) |
 poshposh<$100 | Overavg 16¢ | $2.26 | $14.1 | +$11.84 | 59% 9478-6467 (15945) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 25.4¢ | $131.14 | — | -$131.14 | 59% 44789-31177 (75966) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 78¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.1K | 72% 2311-879 (3190) |
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Underavg 40.5¢ | $23.64 | — | -$23.64 | 50% 10588-10447 (21035) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 54.8¢ | $8.3 | — | -$8.3 | 53% 3243-2909 (6152) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 26¢ | $10.54 | — | +$0.41 | 58% 40917-29601 (70518) |
RN1CTRInvested
$1,356.85
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$22.2
Record
54%
55844-47942 (103786)
Invested
$140.15
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$979.97
Record
50%
24471-24125 (48596)
Invested
$6.2
Value
$22.15
PnL
+$15.95
Record
64%
1014-578 (1592)
poshposh<$100Invested
$2.26
Value
$14.1
PnL
+$11.84
Record
59%
9478-6467 (15945)
Invested
$131.14
Value
—
PnL
-$131.14
Record
59%
44789-31177 (75966)
Invested
$1,379.05
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
72%
2311-879 (3190)
Invested
$23.64
Value
—
PnL
-$23.64
Record
50%
10588-10447 (21035)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
—
PnL
-$8.3
Record
53%
3243-2909 (6152)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$10.54
Value
—
PnL
+$0.41
Record
58%
40917-29601 (70518)
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