Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Ashton Bowers β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Ashton Bowers

W35 Orlando, FL: Vivian Wolff vs Ashton Bowers
Resolved Ashton Bowers. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Ashton Bowers. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Ashton Bowers 67%
1 arb excluded
$21.9K
$8.0K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Ashton Bowersavg 62Β’ | $12.0K | $19.3K | +$7.2K | 46% 1703-1992 (3695) |
FL Flaznorp | Ashton Bowersavg 60.5Β’ | $837.5 | $1.4K | +$547.68 | 51% 26809-25398 (52207) |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554 | Ashton Bowersavg 41.5Β’ | $366.87 | $884.23 | +$348.02 | 54% 3494-3031 (6525) |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Ashton Bowersavg 71.6Β’ | $484.99 | $344 | -$140.99 | 53% 61999-54294 (116293) |
| β Ashton Bowers leg | Ashton Bowersavg 71.6Β’ | $246.19 | $344 | +$97.81 | |
| β Vivian Wolff leg | Vivian Wolffavg 47.3Β’ | $238.8 | β | -$238.8 | |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Vivian Wolffavg 36.6Β’ | $139.23 | β | -$139.23 | 50% 21484-21745 (43229) |
TH thestingsnake<$100 | Ashton Bowersavg 61.8Β’ | $23.47 | $38 | +$14.53 | 60% 4502-3002 (7504) |
EU EulhunterCTR<$100 | Vivian Wolffavg 35.7Β’ | $36.72 | β | -$15.7 | 54% 6320-5387 (11707) |
Invested
$12,044.54
Value
$19.3K
PnL
+$7.2K
Record
46%
1703-1992 (3695)
Invested
$837.5
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$547.68
Record
51%
26809-25398 (52207)
Invested
$366.87
Value
$884.23
PnL
+$348.02
Record
54%
3494-3031 (6525)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$484.99
Value
$344
PnL
-$140.99
Record
53%
61999-54294 (116293)
Both legs:
Invested
$139.23
Value
β
PnL
-$139.23
Record
50%
21484-21745 (43229)
Invested
$23.47
Value
$38
PnL
+$14.53
Record
60%
4502-3002 (7504)
Invested
$36.72
Value
β
PnL
-$15.7
Record
54%
6320-5387 (11707)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Ashton Bowers β $19.3K
Flaznorp
Ashton Bowers β $1.4K
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
Ashton Bowers β $884.23

RN1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
omnibus-076daa
CTRVivian Wolff β $0
thestingsnake
Ashton Bowers β $38
Eulhunter
CTRVivian Wolff β $0