Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley — but Thiago Horacio Messa won instead.
M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley vs Thiago Horacio Messa
Resolved Thiago Horacio Messa. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley. The smart money was wrong.
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Lost
6
John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley 83%
$47.1
-$145.26
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100 | Thiago Horacio Messaavg 94.3¢ | $47.1 | $47.1 | +$2.68 | 59% 7335-5080 (12415) |
 dips.CTR | John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersleyavg 5.1¢ | $144.39 | — | -$144.39 | 46% 12092-14003 (26095) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersleyavg 6¢ | $3.43 | — | -$3.43 | 56% 39453-31101 (70554) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersleyavg 4.4¢ | $1.79 | — | -$0.08 | 46% 1997-2348 (4345) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersleyavg 1¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 48% 39771-42686 (82457) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersleyavg 5¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 52% 27203-24713 (51916) |
Invested
$47.1
Value
$47.1
PnL
+$2.68
Record
59%
7335-5080 (12415)
dips.CTRInvested
$144.39
Value
—
PnL
-$144.39
Record
46%
12092-14003 (26095)
Invested
$3.43
Value
—
PnL
-$3.43
Record
56%
39453-31101 (70554)
Invested
$1.79
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
46%
1997-2348 (4345)
Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
48%
39771-42686 (82457)
Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
52%
27203-24713 (51916)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Thiago Horacio Messa — $47.1
dips.
CTRJohn Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley — $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRJohn Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRJohn Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley — $0
lryyy
CTRJohn Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley — $0
Pan9X
CTRJohn Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley — $0