Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Sebastian Sorger — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Sebastian Sorger

M25 Vale do Lobo: Rudolf Molleker vs Sebastian Sorger

Resolved Sebastian Sorger. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Sebastian Sorger. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Sebastian Sorger 83%

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

$1.4K

Sebastian Sorger

6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Rudolf Molleker0%

Sebastian Sorger100%

Sebastian Sorger6 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares7,031

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Rudolf Molleker2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares510

Combined PnL-$11.4

Sebastian Sorger — 75%Rudolf Molleker — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Sebastian Sorgeravg 75.3¢	$2.8K	$3.7K	+$912.28	50% 3193-3131 (6324)
RN1	Sebastian Sorgeravg 86¢	$2.3K	$2.7K	+$372.12	56% 4863-3816 (8679)
CI cigarettes	Sebastian Sorgeravg 93¢	$321.38	$345.57	+$24.19	53% 6618-5816 (12434)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Sebastian Sorgeravg 66¢	$201.86	$300	+$98.14	48% 423-457 (880)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Sebastian Sorgeravg 80¢	$24.67	$30.84	+$6.17	44% 391-495 (886)
NO NotJump	Sebastian Sorgeravg 50¢	$1.1K	$0.05	+$0	53% 631-566 (1197)
GL glennyorkshireCTR<$100	Rudolf Mollekeravg 36¢	$10	—	-$6.39	45% 139-172 (311)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Rudolf Mollekeravg 1¢	$5.01	—	-$5.01	43% 507-662 (1169)