Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Maximilian Marterer — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Maximilian Marterer
M25 Montreal: Maximilian Marterer vs Theodore Dean
Resolved Maximilian Marterer. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Maximilian Marterer. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Maximilian Marterer 38%
1 arb excluded
$4.9K
$278.34
Smart Money Signal
5 of 14 top traders (36%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Maximilian Martereravg 82.2¢ | $2.8K | $3.3K | +$595.87 | 38% 550-887 (1437) |
LO looppau | Maximilian Martereravg 99.9¢ | $972.31 | $973.28 | +$0.97 | 100% 670-0 (670) |
PA Pan9X | Maximilian Martereravg 84.4¢ | $245.07 | $281.94 | +$44.22 | 50% 1593-1619 (3212) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Maximilian Martereravg 87¢ | $126.15 | $145 | +$18.85 | 46% 497-591 (1088) |
 Basquetipster | Maximilian Martereravg 89¢ | $95.23 | $107 | +$11.77 | 15% 15-82 (97) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsARB<$100 | Theodore Deanavg 17.2¢ | $713.02 | $58.82 | -$654.2 | 49% 525-557 (1082) |
| └ Maximilian Marterer leg | Maximilian Martereravg 83¢ | $48.82 | $58.82 | +$10 | |
| └ Theodore Dean leg | Theodore Deanavg 17.2¢ | $664.2 | — | -$664.2 | |
00 0000.CTR | Theodore Deanavg 15.4¢ | $158.25 | — | -$158.25 | 37% 16-27 (43) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Theodore Deanavg 14.6¢ | $148.02 | — | -$148.02 | 49% 3867-4029 (7896) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Theodore Deanavg 15.1¢ | $286.3 | — | -$65.9 | 48% 3231-3545 (6776) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Theodore Deanavg 2.3¢ | $14.64 | — | -$14.64 | 44% 661-825 (1486) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Theodore Deanavg 1.2¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 53% 7113-6221 (13334) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Theodore Deanavg 5.3¢ | $2.39 | — | -$2.39 | 37% 1039-1757 (2796) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Theodore Deanavg 4.5¢ | $1.73 | — | -$1.73 | 48% 1134-1214 (2348) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Theodore Deanavg 50¢ | $1.1K | — | -$0.05 | 52% 833-779 (1612) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Theodore Deanavg 1.3¢ | $0.07 | — | -$0.07 | 50% 2532-2495 (5027) |
Invested
$2,750.07
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$595.87
Record
38%
550-887 (1437)
Invested
$972.31
Value
$973.28
PnL
+$0.97
Record
100%
670-0 (670)
Invested
$245.07
Value
$281.94
PnL
+$44.22
Record
50%
1593-1619 (3212)
Invested
$126.15
Value
$145
PnL
+$18.85
Record
46%
497-591 (1088)
BasquetipsterInvested
$95.23
Value
$107
PnL
+$11.77
Record
15%
15-82 (97)
Invested
$713.02
Value
$58.82
PnL
-$654.2
Record
49%
525-557 (1082)
Both legs:
Invested
$158.25
Value
—
PnL
-$158.25
Record
37%
16-27 (43)
Invested
$148.02
Value
—
PnL
-$148.02
Record
49%
3867-4029 (7896)
Invested
$286.3
Value
—
PnL
-$65.9
Record
48%
3231-3545 (6776)
Invested
$14.64
Value
—
PnL
-$14.64
Record
44%
661-825 (1486)
Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
53%
7113-6221 (13334)
Invested
$2.39
Value
—
PnL
-$2.39
Record
37%
1039-1757 (2796)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
48%
1134-1214 (2348)
Invested
$1,050
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
52%
833-779 (1612)
Invested
$0.07
Value
—
PnL
-$0.07
Record
50%
2532-2495 (5027)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Maximilian Marterer — $3.3K
looppau
Maximilian Marterer — $973.28
Pan9X
Maximilian Marterer — $281.94
omnibus-076daa
Maximilian Marterer — $145
Basquetipster
Maximilian Marterer — $107
CandleHammerDrums
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0000.
CTRTheodore Dean — $0
Flaznorp
CTRTheodore Dean — $0
38791873984189
CTRTheodore Dean — $0
smithagent
CTRTheodore Dean — $0