W75 Brisbane: Carol Young Suh Lee vs BoYoung Jeong

6 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Carol Young Suh Lee (67%) · Carol Young Suh Lee at 98¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 19

Carol Young Suh Lee98¢BoYoung Jeong2¢Ends Thu, Nov 19, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Carol Young Suh Lee

Consensus Traders

Carol Young Suh Lee 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$132.19

Smart Money Entry

83.5¢ → 98¢

+17% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralCarol Young Suh Lee at 98%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Carol Young Suh Lee

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Carol Young Suh Lee98%

BoYoung Jeong2%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Carol Young Suh Lee6 traders

Total Value$992.79

Total Shares1,132

Combined PnL-$15.74

BoYoung Jeong3 traders

Total Value$123.38

Total Shares869

Combined PnL-$116.46

Carol Young Suh Lee — 67%BoYoung Jeong — 33%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

50% of non-arb traders are on Carol Young Suh Lee. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrBoYoung Jeong 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Carol Young Suh Lee 50% · 4

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 81.2¢	$451.14	$421.41	-$29.73	51% 1925-1866 (3791)
38 38791873984189	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 90¢	$348.65	$343.87	+$4.2	48% 1430-1573 (3003)
RN1ARB<$100	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 76¢	$282.56	$316	+$33.44	57% 4059-3079 (7138)
└ Carol Young Suh Lee leg	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 76¢	$197.6	$205.4	+$7.8
└ BoYoung Jeong leg	BoYoung Jeongavg 16.1¢	$84.96	$110.6	+$25.64
7C 0x7c1e...bab3	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 77¢	$162.36	$172.53	+$10.17	—
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	BoYoung Jeongavg 24¢	$68.4	$64.13	-$4.28	53% 1852-1667 (3519)
TH thestingsnakeCTR	BoYoung Jeongavg 14.9¢	$422.59	$55.31	-$112.98	27% 144-385 (529)
1D 0x1d1d...f2df<$100	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 93.2¢	$40.3	$39.6	-$0.7	—
A8 0xa85b...eb0e<$100	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 77¢	$11.55	$11.85	+$0.3	—
5D 0x5d40...ba95CTR<$100	BoYoung Jeongavg 17.1¢	$3.15	$3.95	+$0.8	—
EU Eulhunter<$100	Carol Young Suh Leeavg 70¢	$3.5	$3.53	+$0.02	49% 118-121 (239)

Flaznorp

Carol Young Suh Lee

Invested

$451.14

Value

$421.41

PnL

-$29.73

Record

51%

1925-1866 (3791)

38791873984189

Carol Young Suh Lee

Invested

$348.65

Value

$343.87

PnL

+$4.2

Record

48%

1430-1573 (3003)

RN1ARB<$100

Carol Young Suh Lee

Invested

$282.56

Value

$316

PnL

+$33.44

Record

57%

4059-3079 (7138)

Both legs:

Carol Young Suh Lee$197.676¢+$7.8

BoYoung Jeong$84.9616.1¢+$25.64

0x7c1e...bab3

Carol Young Suh Lee

Invested

$162.36

Value

$172.53

PnL

+$10.17

Record

—

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

BoYoung Jeong

Invested

$68.4

Value

$64.13

PnL

-$4.28

Record

53%

1852-1667 (3519)

thestingsnakeCTR

BoYoung Jeong

Invested

$422.59

Value

$55.31

PnL

-$112.98

Record

27%

144-385 (529)

0x1d1d...f2df<$100

Carol Young Suh Lee

Invested

$40.3

Value

$39.6

PnL

-$0.7

Record

—

0xa85b...eb0e<$100

Carol Young Suh Lee

Invested

$11.55

Value

$11.85

PnL

+$0.3

Record

—

0x5d40...ba95CTR<$100

BoYoung Jeong

Invested

$3.15

Value

$3.95

PnL

+$0.8

Record

—

Eulhunter<$100

Carol Young Suh Lee

Invested

$3.5

Value

$3.53

PnL

+$0.02

Record

49%

118-121 (239)

Research grade

NeutralCarol Young Suh Lee at 98%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Carol Young Suh Lee

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

50% of non-arb traders are on Carol Young Suh Lee. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrBoYoung Jeong 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Carol Young Suh Lee 50% · 4

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Carol Young Suh Lee wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.0%

98.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.96

Max Loss

-$100.00

101.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.