W35 Weston, FL: Dasha Ivanova vs Jana Hossam Salah

9 of 18 top Polymarket traders hold Jana Hossam Salah (50%) · Jana Hossam Salah at 99¢ · $5K held · ends Nov 21

Dasha Ivanova<1¢Jana Hossam Salah>99¢Ends Sat, Nov 21, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Jana Hossam Salah

Consensus Traders

Jana Hossam Salah 50%

Total Value

$5.0K

Combined PnL

$125.55

Smart Money Entry

92.6¢ → 99.2¢

+7% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralJana Hossam Salah at 99%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Jana Hossam Salah

9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Dasha Ivanova1%

Jana Hossam Salah99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Jana Hossam Salah9 traders

Total Value$4.7K

Total Shares4,799

Combined PnL+$142.54

Dasha Ivanova9 traders

Total Value$334.09

Total Shares1,415

Combined PnL-$16.99

Jana Hossam Salah — 50%Dasha Ivanova — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SL SlickRick123	Jana Hossam Salahavg 94¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$66.15	34% 368-702 (1070)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Jana Hossam Salahavg 96.7¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$11.28	48% 517-551 (1068)
OM omnibus-076daa	Jana Hossam Salahavg 91.9¢	$323.41	$346.74	+$23.33	46% 492-580 (1072)
38 38791873984189	Jana Hossam Salahavg 94.3¢	$525.03	$297.89	-$46.26	48% 3214-3513 (6727)
poshposh	Jana Hossam Salahavg 95.7¢	$299.81	$293.31	-$6.49	49% 1117-1185 (2302)
RN1	Jana Hossam Salahavg 56¢	$137.08	$221.53	+$84.45	55% 5363-4304 (9667)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Dasha Ivanovaavg 44¢	$176	$180	+$4	37% 1028-1723 (2751)
LR lryyy	Jana Hossam Salahavg 94¢	$165.44	$171.6	+$6.16	45% 805-991 (1796)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Jana Hossam Salahavg 94¢	$94	$97.5	+$3.5	44% 372-467 (839)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 48¢	$77.76	$72.9	-$4.86	37% 970-1635 (2605)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 9.9¢	$42	$33.79	-$8.21	38% 544-884 (1428)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 45¢	$14.02	$14.02	+$0	56% 463-370 (833)
PA Pan9X<$100	Jana Hossam Salahavg 53¢	$11.23	$11.65	+$0.42	50% 1587-1614 (3201)
EU EulhunterCTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 32.8¢	$13.5	$11.63	-$1.87	52% 191-178 (369)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 4.2¢	$11.88	$11.43	-$0.45	50% 2523-2479 (5002)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 39¢	$7.55	$8.71	+$1.16	36% 948-1669 (2617)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 13¢	$7.67	$0.89	-$6.79	45% 135-162 (297)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Dasha Ivanovaavg 14¢	$0.7	$0.73	+$0.03	49% 3821-3983 (7804)

SlickRick123

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$1,776.6

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$66.15

Record

34%

368-702 (1070)

CandleHammerDrums

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$1,363.47

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$11.28

Record

48%

517-551 (1068)

omnibus-076daa

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$323.41

Value

$346.74

PnL

+$23.33

Record

46%

492-580 (1072)

38791873984189

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$525.03

Value

$297.89

PnL

-$46.26

Record

48%

3214-3513 (6727)

poshposh

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$299.81

Value

$293.31

PnL

-$6.49

Record

49%

1117-1185 (2302)

RN1

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$137.08

Value

$221.53

PnL

+$84.45

Record

55%

5363-4304 (9667)

topdogbigboiCTR

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$176

Value

$180

PnL

+$4

Record

37%

1028-1723 (2751)

lryyy

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$165.44

Value

$171.6

PnL

+$6.16

Record

45%

805-991 (1796)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$94

Value

$97.5

PnL

+$3.5

Record

44%

372-467 (839)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$77.76

Value

$72.9

PnL

-$4.86

Record

37%

970-1635 (2605)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$42

Value

$33.79

PnL

-$8.21

Record

38%

544-884 (1428)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$14.02

Value

$14.02

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

463-370 (833)

Pan9X<$100

Jana Hossam Salah

Invested

$11.23

Value

$11.65

PnL

+$0.42

Record

50%

1587-1614 (3201)

EulhunterCTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$13.5

Value

$11.63

PnL

-$1.87

Record

52%

191-178 (369)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$11.88

Value

$11.43

PnL

-$0.45

Record

50%

2523-2479 (5002)

VenusianCTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$7.55

Value

$8.71

PnL

+$1.16

Record

36%

948-1669 (2617)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$7.67

Value

$0.89

PnL

-$6.79

Record

45%

135-162 (297)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Dasha Ivanova

Invested

$0.7

Value

$0.73

PnL

+$0.03

Record

49%

3821-3983 (7804)

Research grade

NeutralJana Hossam Salah at 99%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Jana Hossam Salah

9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Jana Hossam Salah wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.