Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Mikael Arseneault — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Mikael Arseneault

M25 Montreal: Thomas Gerbaud vs Mikael Arseneault

Resolved Mikael Arseneault. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Mikael Arseneault. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Mikael Arseneault 60%

Total Value

$42.29

Combined PnL

-$11.55

Mikael Arseneault

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Thomas Gerbaud0%

Mikael Arseneault100%

Mikael Arseneault4 traders

Total Value$42.29

Total Shares42

Combined PnL+$3.5

Thomas Gerbaud2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares94

Combined PnL-$15.04

Mikael Arseneault — 67%Thomas Gerbaud — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp<$100	Mikael Arseneaultavg 96¢	$23.98	$24.98	+$1	51% 2634-2567 (5201)
GL glennyorkshire<$100	Mikael Arseneaultavg 83¢	$9.99	$12.04	+$2.05	44% 105-134 (239)
38 38791873984189<$100	Mikael Arseneaultavg 92¢	$4.61	$5.01	+$0.4	48% 2298-2502 (4800)
PA Pan9X<$100	Mikael Arseneaultavg 81¢	$0.21	$0.26	+$0.05	49% 1088-1142 (2230)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Thomas Gerbaudavg 16¢	$6.83	—	-$6.83	53% 6251-5536 (11787)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Thomas Gerbaudavg 16¢	$8.21	—	-$8.21	36% 552-970 (1522)