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Jenna DeFalcoLois NewberryLois NewberryLois NewberryJenna DeFalco
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Lois Newberry — but Jenna DeFalco won instead.
W50 Funchal: Jenna DeFalco vs Lois Newberry
Resolved Jenna DeFalco. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Lois Newberry. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Lois Newberry 75%
Total Value
$17.73
Combined PnL
-$73.73
Smart Money Signal
Lois Newberry
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Jenna DeFalco100%
Lois Newberry0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Jenna DeFalco2 traders
Total Value$17.73
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$0.02
Lois Newberry3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares406
Combined PnL-$73.74
Jenna DeFalco — 40%Lois Newberry — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Jenna DeFalcoavg 99.9¢ | $17.66 | $17.68 | +$0.02 | 38% 3843-6310 (10153) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Lois Newberryavg 18.3¢ | $55.95 | — | -$42.94 | 48% 3997-4384 (8381) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Lois Newberryavg 17.4¢ | $22.62 | — | -$22.62 | 50% 2863-2911 (5774) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Lois Newberryavg 31.9¢ | $8.18 | — | -$8.18 | 41% 744-1054 (1798) |
NO NotJump | Jenna DeFalcoavg 50¢ | $1.1K | $0.05 | -$0 | 50% 1156-1164 (2320) |
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$17.66
Value
$17.68
PnL
+$0.02
Record
38%
3843-6310 (10153)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$55.95
Value
—
PnL
-$42.94
Record
48%
3997-4384 (8381)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$22.62
Value
—
PnL
-$22.62
Record
50%
2863-2911 (5774)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$8.18
Value
—
PnL
-$8.18
Record
41%
744-1054 (1798)
NO
NotJumpInvested
$1,050
Value
$0.05
PnL
-$0
Record
50%
1156-1164 (2320)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbba81d21...c8fe55
Slug
itf-defalc1-newber2-2026-11-15