Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo β but Andrey Barbiero won instead.

M25 Lajeado: Andrey Barbiero vs Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo
Resolved Andrey Barbiero. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo 75%
$101.81
-$80.83
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Andrey Barbieroavg 56.9Β’ | $47.41 | $83.36 | +$35.95 | 41% 739-1047 (1786) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Andrey Barbieroavg 99.9Β’ | $18.43 | $18.45 | +$0.02 | 38% 3822-6251 (10073) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebeloavg 46.1Β’ | $52.83 | β | -$38.36 | 48% 3968-4327 (8295) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebeloavg 41Β’ | $63.38 | β | -$63.38 | 48% 638-680 (1318) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebeloavg 20.6Β’ | $7.17 | β | -$7.17 | 50% 2851-2894 (5745) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebeloavg 41.4Β’ | $6.35 | β | -$6.35 | 39% 1579-2471 (4050) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebeloavg 54Β’ | $1.17 | β | -$1.17 | 46% 479-565 (1044) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebeloavg 36Β’ | $0.37 | β | -$0.37 | 43% 435-567 (1002) |
Invested
$47.41
Value
$83.36
PnL
+$35.95
Record
41%
739-1047 (1786)
Invested
$18.43
Value
$18.45
PnL
+$0.02
Record
38%
3822-6251 (10073)
Invested
$52.83
Value
β
PnL
-$38.36
Record
48%
3968-4327 (8295)
Invested
$63.38
Value
β
PnL
-$63.38
Record
48%
638-680 (1318)
Invested
$7.17
Value
β
PnL
-$7.17
Record
50%
2851-2894 (5745)
Invested
$6.35
Value
β
PnL
-$6.35
Record
39%
1579-2471 (4050)
Invested
$1.17
Value
β
PnL
-$1.17
Record
46%
479-565 (1044)
Invested
$0.37
Value
β
PnL
-$0.37
Record
43%
435-567 (1002)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Andrey Barbiero β $83.36
xtxpleasecallme
Andrey Barbiero β $18.45
38791873984189
CTRDaniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo β $0
CandleHammerDrums
CTRDaniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo β $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRDaniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo β $0
topdogbigboi
CTRDaniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo β $0
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
CTRDaniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo β $0
User7429
CTRDaniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo β $0