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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 40%
Total Value
$214.34
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x22f6f56b...8af10e
Slug
israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-october-27