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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 86%
Total Value
$97.51
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe1bf2c38...31bfd4
Slug
israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-october-26