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YesYes
HaradwaithCTR<$100NoNoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 15?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 67%
Total Value
$68.98
Combined PnL
-$8.59
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$68.98
Total Shares69
Combined PnL-$0.2
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$8.39
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Yesavg 82.5¢ | $174.31 | $62.5 | +$8.26 | 38% 3787-6190 (9977) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 82.3¢ | $13.62 | $6.48 | -$1.73 | 53% 2282-2055 (4337) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Noavg 14¢ | $23.62 | — | -$6.78 | 29% 293-715 (1008) |
WA WarriorHCTR<$100 | Noavg 10¢ | $58.17 | — | -$1.16 | 12% 29-221 (250) |
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yesavg 86¢ | $100.62 | — | -$6.74 | 16% 39-209 (248) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Noavg 17¢ | $45.45 | — | -$0.45 | 16% 29-156 (185) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$174.31
Value
$62.5
PnL
+$8.26
Record
38%
3787-6190 (9977)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$13.62
Value
$6.48
PnL
-$1.73
Record
53%
2282-2055 (4337)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$23.62
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
29%
293-715 (1008)
WA
WarriorHCTR<$100Invested
$58.17
Value
—
PnL
-$1.16
Record
12%
29-221 (250)
0X
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FInvested
$100.62
Value
—
PnL
-$6.74
Record
16%
39-209 (248)
SU
SulkingCryptoCTR<$100Invested
$45.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
16%
29-156 (185)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb6986fa1...3ec039
Slug
israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-november-15