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No
StarMasterNo
Istaroth<$100NoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$806.01
Combined PnL
-$1.09
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$806.01
Total Shares806
Combined PnL+$46.16
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares305
Combined PnL-$47.25
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Noavg 97.3¢ | $584 | $600 | +$16 | 77% 1387-406 (1793) |
StarMaster | Noavg 78.1¢ | $109.33 | $140 | +$30.67 | 53% 1832-1612 (3444) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 90.2¢ | $67.55 | $66.01 | -$0.51 | 28% 280-738 (1018) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24.9¢ | $21.59 | — | -$21.59 | 42% 5192-7113 (12305) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.7¢ | $25.67 | — | -$25.67 | 35% 14814-26946 (41760) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$584
Value
$600
PnL
+$16
Record
77%
1387-406 (1793)
StarMasterInvested
$109.33
Value
$140
PnL
+$30.67
Record
53%
1832-1612 (3444)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$67.55
Value
$66.01
PnL
-$0.51
Record
28%
280-738 (1018)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
$21.59
Value
—
PnL
-$21.59
Record
42%
5192-7113 (12305)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$25.67
Value
—
PnL
-$25.67
Record
35%
14814-26946 (41760)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe3d87ce5...6bc7e2
Slug
hike-25-bps-flips-no-change-for-october-fed-by-october-27