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No
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYesNo
IstarothCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 100%
Total Value
$1.13
Combined PnL
$0.42
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$1.13
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$0.42
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $0.71 | $1.13 | +$0.42 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 87.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 626-610 (1236) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 372-296 (668) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 300-1148 (1448) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15335-27408 (42743) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$0.71
Value
$1.13
PnL
+$0.42
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
626-610 (1236)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
372-296 (668)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
300-1148 (1448)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15335-27408 (42743)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa43748e3...787204
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-october-30-2026-22c