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No
balthazar<$100NoYesNoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 28?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$1.93
Combined PnL
$0.13
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$1.93
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.13
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 93.4¢ | $12.39 | $1.93 | +$0.13 | 36% 14865-26983 (41848) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20693-13116 (33809) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1654-1642 (3296) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 95.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13143-10017 (23160) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 1599-1056 (2655) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 94.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 268-225 (493) |
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$12.39
Value
$1.93
PnL
+$0.13
Record
36%
14865-26983 (41848)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20693-13116 (33809)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1654-1642 (3296)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13143-10017 (23160)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
1599-1056 (2655)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
268-225 (493)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x98a663a2...c5a973
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-october-28-2026-22c