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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoYesYesYesYesYes
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$5.39
Combined PnL
$7.88
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes7 traders
Total Value$5.39
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$7.88
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 88%No — 12%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 4.8¢ | $3.46 | $5.39 | +$7.88 | 36% 14865-26983 (41848) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 44.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20693-13116 (33809) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 37¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1654-1642 (3296) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6330-5547 (11877) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100 | Yesavg 24.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 585-672 (1257) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 26.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13143-10017 (23160) |
24 241532532432<$100 | Yesavg 24.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 1599-1056 (2655) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | — | — | +$0 | 26% 281-787 (1068) |
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$3.46
Value
$5.39
PnL
+$7.88
Record
36%
14865-26983 (41848)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20693-13116 (33809)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1654-1642 (3296)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6330-5547 (11877)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
585-672 (1257)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13143-10017 (23160)
24
241532532432<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
1599-1056 (2655)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
26%
281-787 (1068)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xee21f22f...b826e1
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-october-28-2026-20c