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YesYesYes
IstarothCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 27?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$5.6
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares335
Combined PnL-$5.6
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.9¢ | $2.8 | — | -$5.6 | 61% 1529-967 (2496) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 556-647 (1203) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12909-9833 (22742) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 273-593 (866) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14582-26244 (40826) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
61%
1529-967 (2496)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
556-647 (1203)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12909-9833 (22742)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
273-593 (866)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14582-26244 (40826)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xafecb831...2aea34
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-october-27-2026-18c