Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 10°C on November 9?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Yes 67%
$23.21
-$3.18
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | $23.21 | $23.21 | +$0.42 | 57% 25537-19073 (44610) |
 2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 15% 5011-29434 (34445) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $3.48 | — | -$3.48 | 22% 3495-12142 (15637) |
 Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21967-45855 (67822) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54243 (101900) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 66284-66816 (133100) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 35% 1183-2186 (3369) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6200-7414 (13614) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2958-6851 (9809) |
Invested
$23.21
Value
$23.21
PnL
+$0.42
Record
57%
25537-19073 (44610)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
15%
5011-29434 (34445)
Invested
$3.48
Value
—
PnL
-$3.48
Record
22%
3495-12142 (15637)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21967-45855 (67822)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54243 (101900)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
66284-66816 (133100)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
1183-2186 (3369)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6200-7414 (13614)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2958-6851 (9809)