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NoNoNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$10.5
Combined PnL
$1.05
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$10.5
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$1.05
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | $9.45 | $10.5 | +$1.05 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100 | Noavg 72.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 673-674 (1347) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6690-5888 (12578) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 81.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 27¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 365-1641 (2006) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$9.45
Value
$10.5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
673-674 (1347)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6690-5888 (12578)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
365-1641 (2006)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc92e3e05...baa44a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-november-1-2026-20c