Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 7?
Resolved Yes. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
19
No 74%
Total Value
$11.21
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 19 top traders (74%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x30f5cf3b...d7d057
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-7-2026-21c