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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 5?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 75%
Total Value
$0.52
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 8 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x79002975...501690
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-5-2026-18c