Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2?
Resolved Yes. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
No 55%
Total Value
$186.13
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 11 top traders (55%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb5e9d4a8...ad8279
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-2-2026-18c