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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 24?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 20%
Total Value
$391.77
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 5 top traders (20%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe489e5b0...18a7dc
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-august-24-2026-16c