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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 22?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$76.36
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9b2c9432...2d6e85
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-august-22-2026-16c