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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 71%
Total Value
$40
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0872a308...7fc8df
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-august-17-2026-13c