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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 14?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$45.11
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 6 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb19f15a4...d991fa
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-august-14-2026-13c