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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 8?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 8
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes28%
No73%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance29.5%
27.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$238.77
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
338.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x84f8cc51...54e0cb
Slug
highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-november-8-2026-5c