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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
26
Yes 42%
Total Value
$327.64
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
11 of 26 top traders (42%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe5eb105f...25de91
Slug
highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-november-6-2026-11c