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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
20
Yes 25%
Total Value
$572.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 20 top traders (25%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x94f948d5...c18d54
Slug
highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-november-4-2026-20c