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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 8?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Yes 50%
Total Value
$214.8
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 14 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe9fcf50c...0627a7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-8-2026-17c