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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 5?
Resolved No. 13% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
16
No 13%
Total Value
$120.68
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 16 top traders (13%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdc58e075...4fb4d2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-5-2026-14c