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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
21
No 52%
Total Value
$189.47
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
11 of 21 top traders (52%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbcbad335...2d5c80
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-4-2026-14c