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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 9?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.45
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$0.45
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$0.45 | 32% 21967-45855 (67822) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35523-84044 (119567) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54243 (101900) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3495-12142 (15637) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
32%
21967-45855 (67822)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35523-84044 (119567)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54243 (101900)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3495-12142 (15637)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0dcf7480...477aac
Slug
highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-november-9-2026-28c