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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 30?

Resolved No. 18% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$141.39

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 11 top traders (18%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,189
Combined PnL-$141.39
No9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 18%No — 82%
LornaPredictsCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$13.77

Value

—

PnL

-$13.77

Record

18%

527-2364 (2891)

HE
HellYeahTraderCTR
Yes

Invested

$127.62

Value

—

PnL

-$127.62

Record

56%

372-296 (668)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20984-13348 (34332)

HE
hello.67<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1774-1756 (3530)

0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

626-610 (1236)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6484-5687 (12171)

GH
ghorrock<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

13603-10423 (24026)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4406-9468 (13874)

HI
HighTempTation<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

99%

1567-4 (1571)

Istaroth<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

21%

300-1148 (1448)

XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

15335-27408 (42743)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xc8acdba7...634b57
Slug
highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-october-30-2026-31c

Traders in this Market

LornaPredicts

CTR

Yes — $0

-$13.77
HE

HellYeahTrader

CTR

Yes — $0

-$127.62

balthazar

No — $0

+$0
HE

hello.67

No — $0

+$0
0X

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

No — $0

+$0
CB

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

+$0
GH

ghorrock

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

No — $0

+$0
HI

HighTempTation

No — $0

+$0

Istaroth

No — $0

+$0
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