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YesYes
LucerysCTR<$100YesNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on November 9?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$11.09
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares122
Combined PnL-$11.09
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $10.18 | — | -$10.18 | 22% 3495-12142 (15637) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$0.91 | 47% 47657-54243 (101900) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6200-7414 (13614) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2958-6851 (9809) |
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$10.18
Value
—
PnL
-$10.18
Record
22%
3495-12142 (15637)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$0.91
Record
47%
47657-54243 (101900)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6200-7414 (13614)
12
123987456CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2958-6851 (9809)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8704d9ab...a5ecdb
Slug
highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-november-9-2026-35c