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NoYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$345.7
Combined PnL
$10.76
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$345.7
Total Shares346
Combined PnL+$10.76
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 96.9¢ | $334.94 | $345.7 | +$10.76 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15335-27408 (42743) |
24
241532532432Invested
$334.94
Value
$345.7
PnL
+$10.76
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15335-27408 (42743)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x70a21af4...0dcbef
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-october-30-2026-28c