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Yes
balthazar<$100YesYesNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$149.15
Combined PnL
$84.74
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$149.15
Total Shares149
Combined PnL+$84.74
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 43%No — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 47.4¢ | $48 | $149.15 | +$84.74 | 61% 1529-967 (2496) |
balthazar<$100 | Yesavg 89¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20522-12983 (33505) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100 | Yesavg 39.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 561-524 (1085) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6235-5472 (11707) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 5.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12909-9833 (22742) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 40.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 273-593 (866) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 33.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14582-26244 (40826) |
24
241532532432Invested
$48
Value
$149.15
PnL
+$84.74
Record
61%
1529-967 (2496)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20522-12983 (33505)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
561-524 (1085)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6235-5472 (11707)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12909-9833 (22742)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
273-593 (866)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14582-26244 (40826)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb9081b78...bf5112
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-october-27-2026-31c