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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?
Resolved Yes. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
24
No 88%
Total Value
$467.33
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
21 of 24 top traders (88%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd22d172e...4bf7fd
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-november-3-2026-28c