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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 30?

Resolved No. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

No 100%

Total Value

$321.6

Combined PnL

$28.2

Smart Money Signal

No

12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No12 traders

Total Value$321.6

Total Shares322

Combined PnL+$28.2

Yes1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

No — 92%Yes — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
24 241532532432	Noavg 91.2¢	$293.4	$321.6	+$28.2	59% 1743-1208 (2951)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 99.5¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20984-13348 (34332)
ZE zerone777<$100	Noavg 90¢	—	—	+$0	40% 406-604 (1010)
PO pollo07<$100	Noavg 90¢	—	—	+$0	32% 330-701 (1031)
LI Likaseent<$100	Noavg 90¢	—	—	+$0	28% 200-503 (703)
VA Vale54holi<$100	Noavg 90¢	—	—	+$0	29% 181-444 (625)
HE hello.67<$100	Noavg 90.6¢	—	—	+$0	50% 1774-1756 (3530)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 95.7¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6484-5687 (12171)
GH ghorrock<$100	Noavg 95.4¢	—	—	+$0	57% 13603-10423 (24026)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Noavg 98.1¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4406-9468 (13874)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100	Yesavg 3¢	—	—	+$0	18% 527-2364 (2891)
HE HellYeahTrader<$100	Noavg 91.7¢	—	—	+$0	56% 372-296 (668)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 98.3¢	—	—	+$0	36% 15335-27408 (42743)

Invested

$293.4

Value

$321.6

PnL

+$28.2

Record

59%

1743-1208 (2951)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20984-13348 (34332)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

406-604 (1010)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

330-701 (1031)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

28%

200-503 (703)

Vale54holi<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

29%

181-444 (625)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1774-1756 (3530)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6484-5687 (12171)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

13603-10423 (24026)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4406-9468 (13874)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

527-2364 (2891)

HellYeahTrader<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

372-296 (668)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

15335-27408 (42743)

Smart Money Signal

No

12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe868f3c0...1a1f57

Slug

highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-30-2026-25c

Traders in this Market

241532532432

No — $321.6

balthazar

No — $0

zerone777

No — $0

pollo07

No — $0

Likaseent

No — $0

Vale54holi

No — $0

hello.67

No — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

ghorrock

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

No — $0

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