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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
24
Yes 63%
Total Value
$138.12
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
15 of 24 top traders (63%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0e2f84e9...4e460b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-6-2026-21c