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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on November 6?
Resolved No. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
Yes 87%
Total Value
$5.74
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
13 of 15 top traders (87%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb41f63cf...6d0896
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-6-2026-15corbelow