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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on November 4?
Resolved No. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 78%
Total Value
$10.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 9 top traders (78%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x398d866b...56c286
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-4-2026-15corbelow