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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
Yes 60%
Total Value
$74.53
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 15 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3df95c0b...61dd5f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-4-2026-24c